Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.032167 0.035084 0.038012 0.041168 0.044465 0.047803 0.051434
2026-02-01 0.026931 0.031212 0.035649 0.040568 0.045848 0.051325 0.057414
2026-02-08 0.023153 0.028394 0.033987 0.040344 0.047321 0.054698 0.063045
2026-02-15 0.021050 0.027122 0.033762 0.041467 0.050072 0.059310 0.069899
2026-02-22 0.019195 0.025915 0.033433 0.042319 0.052398 0.063356 0.076055
2026-03-01 0.017417 0.024620 0.032859 0.042766 0.054163 0.066694 0.081358
2026-03-08 0.015748 0.023307 0.032143 0.042942 0.055529 0.069514 0.086020
2026-03-15 0.014724 0.022683 0.032162 0.043908 0.057743 0.073245 0.091667
2026-03-22 0.012981 0.021035 0.030850 0.043212 0.057959 0.074642 0.094624
2026-03-29 0.011883 0.020126 0.030370 0.043453 0.059221 0.077199 0.098865
2026-04-05 0.011069 0.019527 0.030229 0.044062 0.060883 0.080191 0.103584
2026-04-12 0.010269 0.018889 0.029993 0.044518 0.062336 0.082918 0.107979
2026-04-19 0.008666 0.017052 0.028166 0.042974 0.061375 0.082833 0.109154
2026-04-26 0.007627 0.015934 0.027218 0.042486 0.061661 0.084195 0.111997
2026-05-03 0.006798 0.015060 0.026548 0.042314 0.062307 0.085963 0.115302
2026-05-10 0.006506 0.014977 0.026935 0.043493 0.064617 0.089716 0.120942
2026-05-17 0.006142 0.014752 0.027108 0.044381 0.066557 0.093021 0.126054
2026-05-24 0.005674 0.014323 0.026973 0.044846 0.067955 0.095666 0.130379
2026-05-31 0.005160 0.013775 0.026641 0.045030 0.068983 0.097852 0.134153
2026-06-07 0.004917 0.013664 0.026921 0.046022 0.071029 0.101272 0.139396
2026-06-14 0.004232 0.012723 0.025957 0.045308 0.070881 0.102001 0.141411
2026-06-21 0.003851 0.012289 0.025715 0.045557 0.071950 0.104209 0.145190
2026-06-28 0.003591 0.012054 0.025756 0.046181 0.073496 0.106997 0.149663